Irrational Analysis

Irrational Analysis published 32 pieces between 2026-04-30 and 2026-10-19, covering 15 tickers plus 1 macro pieces with no single ticker. Quant Data extracted 548 discrete claims from them, of which 36 were directional statements on a named ticker. Over the last 30 days it published 5 pieces, about 1.2 a week. These are counts of what was published, not a judgement of it.

Pieces tracked

2026-04-30 → 2026-10-19

Tickers covered

1 macro pieces besides

Directional statements

of 548 claims extracted

Last 30 days

about 1.2 pieces a week

Full-history audit result

Irrational Analysis is one of 3 sources (of 79 examined) that passed Quant Data's finance-influencer audit, which backtests every dated directional statement in a source's full archive against QQQ. Over 812 statements on 161 tickers from 2023-08-19 to 2026-07-02, the rule "first bullish statement, then first bearish flip" produced 54 trades with a 59% win rate and a median excess return of 16% over the benchmark. Method, caveats and the failures of other sources are on the audit page; the dated statements are pinned on price charts.

What kind of claims it makes

Claim type	Count	Share
numbers on the record	136	25%
competitive notes	90	16%
risks	77	14%
theses	65	12%
contrarian points	43	8%
directional statements	36	7%
catalysts	35	6%
falsification points	33	6%
omissions flagged	27	5%
valuation points	6	1%

Claim types are assigned during ingestion. "Omissions flagged" counts places where the reader noted a piece gave a view without a target, a timeframe or a falsification condition.

Tickers it writes about most

LITE5 pieces INTC3 pieces MRVL3 pieces CBRS2 pieces NVDA2 pieces AEVA2 pieces QCOM2 pieces IFX1 pieces 7220.T1 pieces 005930.KS1 pieces

Each piece is tagged with one primary ticker; passing mentions are not counted.

Most recent pieces

Date	Ticker	Title
2026-10-19	—	OCP Global Summit 2026: Irrational Recap
2026-10-11	INTC	The Tragedy of 3D XPoint (AKA Intel Optane AKA Micron QuantX)
2026-10-07	MRVL	Marvell 2026 Investor Day: Irrational Recap
2026-10-04	—	Practical Parametric Yield
2026-10-01	CRDO	Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas
2026-09-21	LITE	[Emergency Lunch-Hour Market Memo] Coherent admits their CPO/NPO Laser is garbage + Cerebras delusional bonus roast
2026-09-20	MU	[Market Memo] Calm Before the IPO Storm
2026-09-14	QCOM	[Market Memo] Qualcomm/Amazon, Apple C2 Modem, Credo uLED 30M Claim, Cerebras I/O Conspiracy Theory
2026-09-06	NVDA	Hot Chips 2026: Irrational Recap
2026-08-19	—	Cerebras Supernova 2026: Irrational Recap
2026-08-18	INTC	Intel CPO Group is Alive? + Very Interesting NVDA/LITE/AEVA Bonus Papers
2026-08-14	COHR	Coherent Q4 FY26 Earnings

Days with a written note

October 19, 2026 — Ten research pieces from seven publishers: S&P 500 narrowness mirrors 2000 top, 2027 datacenter buildout accelerates to 50GW, and CoreWeave credit risks rise
October 11, 2026 — Three research notes from Cassandra Unchained, Irrational Analysis, and Macro Charts cover Fannie Mae preferreds, the history of Intel's 3D XPoint, and macro rotation signals
October 7, 2026 — Ten research pieces from six publishers: Marvell's ambitious 2030 targets, ASML's capacity expansion, optical switch growth, and rising Treasury yields pressure tech valuations
October 1, 2026 — 12 pieces from 9 publishers: Micron's fiscal Q4 and 2028 supply claims, Gemini 4 Argon, a silicon photonics foundry map, and a 5.33% US 10-year
September 6, 2026 — Four notes, four publishers: Irrational Analysis dismantles the HBM supercycle thesis, Simon's Substack ranks silver juniors, Macro Charts flags a positioning minefield, Capital Wars probes Bitcoin's liquidity ties

Counts are computed from Quant Data's ingestion ledger of Irrational Analysis's pieces, drawn from publicly available Substack newsletters that Quant Data accesses through paid subscriptions. Titles belong to the publisher. Educational only: not investment advice, not a recommendation.